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Forecast

GET/v1/stats/forecast

Holt-Winters seasonal smoothing on log values, fitted from each country's post-pandemic reopening, with 80% and 95% ranges. Every forecast carries the date it was made and its error on the last 12 published months. 47 countries.

Intel plan and upKey requiredJSON or CSVCached until the next release

Parameters

Name	Type	Description
countryrequired	string query	ISO code of a country that carries this statistic (listed at /v1/countries/{iso}) e.g. JP
horizonoptional	integer query	Months ahead, 1 to 24 e.g. 12
leveloptional	80 \| 95 query	Width of the range returned with each value e.g. 80

Request

# Up to 24 months ahead, with ranges
curl "https://api.tourismapi.com/v1/stats/forecast?country=JP" \
  -H "X-API-Key: $TOURISM_API_KEY"

const res = await fetch("https://api.tourismapi.com/v1/stats/forecast?country=JP", {
  headers: { "X-API-Key": process.env.TOURISM_API_KEY }
});
if (!res.ok) throw new Error(`Tourism API ${res.status}`);
const { meta, data } = await res.json();
console.log(meta.data_as_of, data);

import os, requests

r = requests.get(
    "https://api.tourismapi.com/v1/stats/forecast?country=JP",
    headers={"X-API-Key": os.environ["TOURISM_API_KEY"]},
    timeout=10,
)
r.raise_for_status()
body = r.json()
print(body["meta"]["data_as_of"], body["data"])

$ch = curl_init("https://api.tourismapi.com/v1/stats/forecast?country=JP");
curl_setopt_array($ch, [
    CURLOPT_RETURNTRANSFER => true,
    CURLOPT_HTTPHEADER     => ["X-API-Key: " . getenv("TOURISM_API_KEY")],
]);
$body = json_decode(curl_exec($ch), true);
print_r($body["data"]);

Your API key

Ready

Example response

{
    "meta": {
        "request_id": "req_cc634468fe",
        "data_as_of": "2026-11-07T04:51:47Z",
        "count": 24,
        "country": "JP",
        "method": {
            "series": "Visitor arrivals to Japan from Total",
            "unit": "visitors",
            "first": "2003-01",
            "last": "2026-09",
            "made": "2026-11-07",
            "fitted_from": "2022-12",
            "horizon_months": 24,
            "backtest_mape_pct": 8.9,
            "method": "Holt-Winters on logs, damped slope 0.9, season started from 2017 to 2019"
        }
    },
    "data": [
        {
            "period": "2026-10",
            "value": 3436583,
            "low": 3161983,
            "high": 3735031
        },
        {
            "period": "2026-11",
            "value": 3202636,
            "low": 2846815,
            "high": 3602931
        },
        {
            "period": "2026-12",
            "value": 3405665,
            "low": 2948208,
            "high": 3934102
        }
    ]
}

Response fields

Field	Type	Example
period	string	2026-10
value	number	3436583
low	number	3161983
high	number	3735031